Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Betting Tips: Premier League Round 38

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Betting Tips: Premier League Round 16

Anfield prepares for yet another Premier League showdown as Liverpool take on Crystal Palace in what promises to be a crucial encounter at both ends of the table. With Liverpool pushing to maintain momentum in their title run and Palace seeking to consolidate their position in mid-table security, both teams arrive with something tangible to fight for. This detailed analysis dissects the current form, tactics, lineups, and best value betting angles for this fixture.

Tactical Analysis

Liverpool: High Press, Vertical Transitions, and Front-Foot Football

Arne Slot’s system is clicking into place as Liverpool enter the final phase of the campaign. Utilizing a dynamic 4-2-3-1 formation, the Reds are orchestrating attacking overloads in wide and half-space channels, driven by high pressing and vertical movement.

Key Features:

  • High pressing triggers, especially when opponents build from the back.
  • Overlapping runs by full-backs Robertson and Bradley to stretch the pitch.
  • Interplay between Salah, Szoboszlai, and Díaz to disorganize defensive lines.
  • A midfield pivot with Curtis Jones and Gravenberch offering balance between control and aggression.

Attacking Stats (Last 10 Games):

  • Goals per Match: 2.1
  • Shots on Target: 5.5
  • Average Possession: 60.4%
  • Passes Completed per Game: 532.4

With Salah registering 28 goals and 18 assists this season, he remains Liverpool’s primary threat in the final third.

Crystal Palace: Compact Blocks, Speed in Transition

Under Oliver Glasner, Palace’s 4-4-2 is compact and disciplined defensively, relying heavily on individual brilliance from Eze and counter-attacking opportunities through Mateta and Sarr.

Key Features:

  • Compact defensive block with limited space between lines.
  • Fast transitions upon regaining possession, exploiting wide areas.
  • Set-piece reliance with effective delivery from Eze and Kamada.
  • Sufficient defensive cover in midfield through Lerma and Hughes.

Attacking Stats (Last 10 Games):

  • Goals per Match: 1.5
  • Shots on Target: 4.5
  • Possession: 41.6%
  • Passes Completed per Game: 349.6

While they lack Liverpool’s overall quality, Palace’s unpredictability in broken play situations makes them dangerous, especially if Liverpool overcommit.

Current Form Guide

Liverpool – Last 10 Premier League Matches:

  • Wins: 6
  • Draws: 1
  • Losses: 3
  • Goals Scored: 21
  • Goals Conceded: 14
  • Clean Sheets: 2

Crystal Palace – Last 10 Premier League Matches:

  • Wins: 4
  • Draws: 4
  • Losses: 2
  • Goals Scored: 15
  • Goals Conceded: 17
  • Clean Sheets: 3

Liverpool have been prolific at home, averaging 2.6 goals per game at Anfield. Palace, while sturdy on the road, have conceded at least once in each of their last five away games.

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head Statistics

  • Last 10 Meetings: Liverpool 7 Wins, Palace 1 Win, 2 Draws
  • Goals Scored (Liverpool): 22
  • Goals Scored (Palace): 8
  • Last Meeting: Liverpool 1-0 Palace (Selhurst Park)
  • Last Anfield Meeting: Liverpool 3-1 Palace

Historically, this fixture has favored Liverpool heavily, especially at home where they’ve consistently covered the -1.5 Asian Handicap line.

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Projected Lineups

Liverpool (4-2-3-1)

  • GK: Alisson
  • DEF: Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson
  • MID: Gravenberch, Jones
  • ATT MID: Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo
  • ST: Díaz

Crystal Palace (4-4-2)

  • GK: Dean Henderson
  • DEF: Richards, Lacroix, Lerma, Munoz
  • MID: Kamada, Hughes, Mitchell, Sarr
  • FWD: Eze, Mateta

No major injuries reported at the time of writing, though final confirmations are expected closer to kick-off.

Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Betting Insights and Recommendations

Asian Handicap: Liverpool -1.5 @ 2.00

Liverpool have covered this spread in 11 of their last 20 home fixtures. Against a Palace side with a leaky defense, this is the standout bet of the weekend.

Both Teams to Score – Yes @ 1.50

Liverpool’s high defensive line leaves them vulnerable on the counter. Given Palace’s scoring form and Eze’s creativity, BTTS is likely.

Anytime Scorer: Mohamed Salah @ 1.63

The Egyptian King has been lethal at home, scoring in 6 of his last 10 matches at Anfield. He also scored the winner in the last head-to-head against Palace.

Shots on Target: Eberechi Eze Over 0.5 @ 1.65

Eze has registered at least one shot on target in four consecutive matches and remains Palace’s go-to man in attack.

Final Score Prediction: Liverpool 3 – 1 Crystal Palace

Liverpool are expected to dominate possession, chances, and territory. With Salah in fine form and Palace’s defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent games, a convincing win for the home side appears inevitable. However, Palace are not without attacking bite — Eze and Mateta could capitalize on transitional moments, making a consolation goal likely.

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Conclusion

Liverpool enter this fixture as clear favorites, backed by superior quality, stronger recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record. With a high-tempo attack and solid midfield structure, the Reds should comfortably dispatch Palace at Anfield. That said, punters should not underestimate Palace’s ability to score — their pace and creativity, particularly from Eze, can trouble even the most structured defenses.

This match presents strong betting value across several markets — particularly the Asian Handicap and goalscoring props. Whether you’re placing a single wager or building a custom bet slip, this is a fixture rich in both narrative and statistical edges.